Pistoia vs Varese
This is a game between Pistoia - Varese in Italian Lega A basketball league...
Pistoia is one of the poorest teams in Italy which started the season with 6 losses, then 3 wins and now again they are on 4 losses streak and I can't see it stopping tonight. In last game they lost by 20 points against defenseless Cantu and collected only 79 pts.
Against all decent opponents they lose by 15-20 points and at the start of the season they lost to Pesaro, a team that I compare to them a lot and a team that lost by 20 pts difference in last round against Varese even though the line was only -3.5. This time the line is -5.5 even though imo it should have been at -13.5 realisticly.
Varese is one of the best Italian teams, they are solid in offense and they do play the defense when they need it. They are one of the rare teams that lost by only few points to Milano in Milano and held them under 80pts what is anomaly even for Euroleague teams.
All in all I could see similar outcome to the previous game of Varese against Pesaro something like 74:92.
I also took the -12.5 spread on Varese for slightly lower stake.
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Pistoia vs Varese prediction
|Varese - 5.5||Pinnacle||1.94||9||71-65 LOST (-9 units)|