Lokomotiv Kuban vs Asvel Basket
Happy New Year everyone, I wish you luck in betting and in life in general!
For this game my estimate was that bookies will set the line at 155 points but they set it at 156 what is almost the same but at first their line was at 161 points what they changed few hours later. Anyway I am still on UNDER in this game. Both teams rely on defense even though both are pretty good offensively but still average. Lyon added NBA player Alexis Ajinca(center) to their roster in recent days. In terms of Over/Under these teams have “hot and cold” results in Euro Cup, mostly scoring a lot against opponents that do allow easy points such as Alba, Tofas etc but at the same time Lokomotiv played 135 pts game at Limoges while Lyon had 74:74 game in St.Petersburg, both offensive teams. Lokomotiv also scored only 80 points against Cedevita in a game which had no significance to Cedevita and which didn’t play defense in that period…And Lyon only 74 points against Zenit which also isn’t really a defensive team. This is what I meant by saying that their offenses are average. In this game I expect ups and downs from both teams, first one taking the lead and then the other catching up by involving defense. I simply can’t imagine both teams reaching 80 points, if any of them at all, but maybe I am mistaken. I haven’t seen many games of Lokomotiv this season except the one against Cedevita and their results and statistics while I have seen few games of Lyon and their defense is not so much strong in the paint as much as they go with their guards way beyond the arc and thus preventing most of the shooters from even attempting to shoot, unless it is Steph Curry or Sergio Lull kind of shooters, or disturbing them and simply making the percentage of success lower. Lyon lost most of their away games when there were many points while the same happened to Lokomotiv(Alba, Astana etc.) and I believe they are aware of that and will slow down the tempo and do defense.
I can see a 76:72 result in this game.
Lokomotiv Kuban vs Asvel Basket prediction
|Under 156 points||Bet365||1.90||6||65-67 WON (+5.4 units)|