Cedevita vs MoraBank Andorra
Happy New Year everyone, I wish you luck in betting and in life in general!
For this game my estimate was that bookies will set the line for Cedevita at 86 points and I would go with Over and handicap at -6.5 and I would take it….but they made it 85 points and -3.5 so my choice is logical, I am going with handicap. At the beginning of the season Andorra was a sensation with some great results, such as win in Madrid over Real but in last month their shape isn’t that great(they lost at home to one of the worst Spanish teams Gipuzkoa) even though they seem to pick it up in last few games. In their game against Ulm most of the punters went with Andorra ML but I went with Ulm Over 85 points and it ended 88:80. Andorra defense is simply not great while Ulm has scoring skills. Cedevita on other hand is a 90+ points team even with their latest injuries such as Banić and Žganec, or players that left the team such as Bell etc. what is good is that Croatian NT player Ramljak is back and he is in great shape, scoring 26 points in last ABA game against Zadar. Cook can always go in double digits with driving layups or three pointers, Cobbs also with his 2pt jump shots what are his speciality, Krušlin with few 3 pointers a game, hardworking Stipanović under rims and of course Jacob Pullen - the guy that can score 25+ points without a problem. Interesting fact is that Pullen is still holding the Spanish ACB record for most three pointers scored in a game(12) while playing for Barcelona. Maybe he will want to prove something to Spanish club. In last game Cedevita scored only 83 points but Pullen played for only 15 min, probably was saved for this kind of games, if he would have been full time on the court they would once again go over 90 points. Also a good thing I have seen in last few games of Cedevita is that they started playing some defense, they held Partizan at 71 points in Belgrade and Zadar at 73 points, almost exactly the same number of points these teams scored against Crvena Zvezda. And Crvena Zvezda won against Andorra by 7 points in Belgrade in a period where they were not in top offensive shape.
Andorra is more or less a home team since at home they are a 85-90 points team while on the road they are 75-80 points team. They are interesting team with Albicy and Ennis who can penetrate but I would still rate them as average players and some good 3pt shooters such as Jelinek and Vitaly and average men in the paint which Stipanović can control well. In my opinion, if Cedevita will control their 3pt shooters, from which they live of, just little bit bellow the average it will be game over for Andorra. I really like what coach of Cedevita, Slaven Rimac, is doing with this team and I believe he scouted Andorra and knows their advantages and how to control them, after all in his playing career he was also a shooter so he knows how to stop it and as I said Cedevita started playing some defense so I really doubt that Andorra will reach 80 points. On other hand Cedevita proved against defensive team like Lokomotiv that they can score 50 points in one HT. These teams met last season and it was 91:73, of course rosters changed but I really digg this Cedevita with Pullen and Cobbs making it a double trouble for opponents.
I can see 89:77 result in this game.
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Cedevita vs MoraBank Andorra prediction
|Cedevita -3.5||Bet365||1.95||7||81-87 LOST (-7 units)|