Olimpia Milano vs Bayern
Milano is a good team but they are simply not like they were month ago. Gudaitis scores regularly and keeps them in the game, James on other hand explodes in one game(Fenerbahce) while underperforms in other. Micov in last 3-4 games is below average. Jerells Curtis is not contributing enough. I am also surprised that coach Pianigiani does not use Kuzminskas more since he usualy performs just fine. In their last EL game if there were not some out of ordinary 3 pointers by James they would stay below 80 points. In last Lega A game against Sassari they had OT at 91:91...it is lots of points scored but it is Sassari, a fast paced team, if it was not for them they would again be around 84 points max.
On other side will be Bayern a team that collected two wins at home against Khimki and Žalgiris, both decent teams and Bayern won them both in different pace. This season they already played against Fenerbahce and it was 88:84, so they can surely play against strong teams. If there was no James two 3 pointers Bayern would have scored more in Istanbul. Milano is favorite by 6 points in this game but actually they still have to beat someone with that kind of difference at home. Bayern is organized team which is good for layup, shooting wise etc. they proved it in last two games. I can see only advantage of Milano in Gudaitis in the paint. Bookies expect Milano to be around 88 points in this game, but again I doubt they will score that much. On other hand they expect Bayern around 82 points what I could imagine since Milano defense is nothing special and Bayern is decent in offense. I see 84:81 result in this game.
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Olimpia Milano vs Bayern prediction
|Bayern +6||Pinnacle||1.94||7||78-80 WON (+6.58 units)|