Gran Canaria vs Baskonia
Canaries again!!! And I decided I will give them a go again. Both are with the same 5-7 record in Euroleague so it will be a hard fight in this one. One interesting fact is that all Spanish EL participants lost in last ACB games except Gran Canaria. It is not so surprising since only Gran Canaria is below the playoff spots. But the truth is that Baskonia did try to come back in their game so I am sure their result is not so much off of the truth. Tenerife is a hard team to beat, they play defense and in offense they are solid while in some games they demolish their opponents with 3 pointers. Baskonia in that game was relying also on 3 pointers what is imo a poor choice in away games(they had 5-27) and only Shengelia and Janning were up to the task. By comparing their previous opponents, Baskonia lost by 3 in Milano while Gran Canaria won there by 8 points. Gran Canaria won against Maccabi at home with 6 points while Baskonia managed to turn the game around in Tel Aviv and grab a close 2 point win. But only games against Milano are comparable here since this is where both teams changed their coaches. So it is at least 7 points difference in favor of Gran Canaria, not to mention that in the last season Gran Canaria playing at home also won the game. So I am a bit surprised with what the bookies cooked here. Gran Canaria in their last two games won comfortably at home and I doubt in significant quality difference Baskonia has. As I said in my previous analysis, since Milano game Gran Canaria is an organized team which does play defense and in offense they are also organized and if they will have a good night with 3pt shooting which few of their players are really good at they could sink Baskonia very early in the game. But something tells me Baskonia will not be that easy win like Budućnost and Joventut, still I believe Gran Canaria will win by few or lose by few. Imo a 85:82 game.
Gran Canaria vs Baskonia prediction
|Gran Canaria +3.5||Bet365||1.94||8||71-84 LOST (-8 units)|