Atalanta vs Lazio
Similar teams just like they were last season, very close on the standings. This year Atalanta is 5 spots below Lazio and with Atalanta win they would jump 5 spots right beneath Lazio and pass over Roma and others who worked hard this weekend to climb up. I know this game smells like a 1:1 draw due to their similar strength. They also both lost to Napoli at home 1:2 with similar statistics in that game just in different periods, Lazio when they were in better shape and Atalanta recently what suggests they are now in better shape. Atalanta in last 8 games has 5-0-3 record(recently lost to Napoli and to Empoli away which was on fire with 3 goals scored in that game) and in last round they won at Udinese which is poor team but with a new coach in charge they were surely very motivated not to lose to Atalanta, look for example what happened to Arsenal yesterday in the same scenario. On other hand Lazio record in last 8 games is 3-4-1...and the wins were before and draws are recent. In the next round Atalanta will go to Bologna and after that they will host Juventus while Lazio hosts Caglari and then goes to Bologna.
One opponent which they both had at home is Inter, it is a "better" team but still beatable by this teams and they performed completely opposite. Atalanta completely dominated at home almost not giving any chances Inter to play while creating 16(10) shots and winning 4:1 while Lazio lost 0:3 in a game where Inter was somewhat more dominant than home team. And Lazio lost in period when they were winning against others. Lazio is without a win in last 5 games and therefore I believe they will lose here, I don't see them winning nor I see another draw, it would be too much hustling from Lazio. I am sure Atalanta will be very motivated to take all points here and with Lazio thinking they can do the same, in an open game I give more chances to the home team. Also in last two meetings in Atalanta home team didn't win so it is time that this pattern changes as well. I don't think it will be easy but I can imagine 2:1 result in this game as very probable.
Atalanta vs Lazio prediction
|Atalanta Win||Bet365||2.20||5||1-0 WON (+6 units)|