Liverpool vs Man. United
Liverpool has been great at home games in EPL so far with a 6-1-0 record (0-0 draw vs City) and the best defensive record of the league with just 1 goal allowed; compared to United they are on a whole other level at the moment and it seems like, for the first time in the 'special one' and the 'normal one' eras, they are the undisputed favorite in this rivalry and it is reflected in the offered odds.
United in having a roller-coaster season so far, on and off the pitch; good results buy them some time of peace but every setback brings back the moaning and the pressure on the team and that's not the way to compete at the top level. Their away record in EPL is at 3-2-3 with 14 goals scored but also the worst defensive record (15 goals) of any team from the top half of the table.
Defenders: A. Arnold, Matip, and Gomez will miss this game for Liverpool.
Defenders Shaw, Smalling, Dalot, Darmian, and Rojo are doubtful for United according to Mourinho, Martial is questionable, Sanchez and Lindelof are out.
Liverpool has a 5-2-0 record in their first halves at home (EPL); 0-0 was the HT result in their most competitive game, against City.
United has a 2-2-4 record in HT on away games; in their most competitive games on the road, they were down by 1-0 by both City and Chelsea after the first 45 minutes.
Mourinho, who believes that the team in possession of the ball is the more vulnerable, has every reason to be afraid of Liverpool's Gegenpress which will probably make his very safe approach even safer, at least early in this game. United has yet to score a single goal from counter-attacks in EPL and as they are expected to keep their lines deeper in order to neutralize Liverpool incredible pace in the offense, they are not expected to be a threat on counters today. Liverpool has the momentum, the quality and the crowd on their side and they should find that early goal, against a struggling United's defense, to give them the lead in the first half while at odds of 1.70, the safer -0.25 AH is even better.
Liverpool vs Man. United prediction
|Liverpool AH (0.0, -0.5) First Half||Bet365||1.70||8||1-1 HALF LOST (-4 units)|