Teramo vs Air Avellino
This is a game between Trieste - Avellino
Last game of Italian Lega A this Sunday. Trieste is a solid team but obviously performing 10 points better while at home and the reason for that is they shoot lots of three pointers. In their games there is around 40 attempts for 2pt around 30 attempts for 3 pt and around 18 Free throw attempts. They are 50% for both 2pt and 3pt. So it is 40 points from 2pt and around 36 points created from 3 pt and adding Free throws we get to around 85-90 points a game at home.
On other side is a team that I really dig and that made me some money over the years, especially when playing on the road. They have 6-2 record in away games this season. But something happened to that team and they do not perform well in last 4 games from which they lost 3. Their offense is not as it could be and their defense is much more worse. In their loss to Nizhny Novgorod, which is nothing special imo, they let them have almost 50 attempts for 2pt, 30 attempts for 3pt and 27 Free throws. If they repeat that in Trieste which is solid team and at home scores over 80 points even with slowier teams than they could surely reach 90 points. The odds are dropping heavily on Trieste which by the bookies for some reason is still not the the clear favorite of at least -7 points here. Maybe Avellino team will weak up and they will perform well, they can easily score 90 points on a good day but I doubt they will slow down Trieste offensively. Imo a 91:77 game if everything goes as expected and by their recent shapes.
Teramo vs Air Avellino prediction
|Pallacanestro Trieste OVER 84.5 points||Pinnacle||1.89||7||110-64 WON (+6.23 units)|