Hamburger SV vs Paderborn
Tonight, 2.Bundesligas leader from Hamburg will host Paderborn.
Hamburg is quite an interesting team: they're playing with high efficiency, winning close games week after week. Since they were slaughtered at home vs Regensburg a few weeks ago (0-5), they stabilized their defense, especially after another change of coach (a running gag in Hamburg).
There are many unforced errors, yet they possess 2nd leagues 2nd best defense right now, regarding goals conceded.
When playing at home, there tend to be few goals, especially in the first 45 minutes. Many visiting teams try to defend most of the time for two reasons: first, Hamburg has arguably one of the best offenses in the league but regularly fails to score against deep defending teams. Their style is based on speed, thus they need some room.
Additionally, Hamburgs home games are very well attended - it's always a good idea to silence the crowd.
Paderborns offense is red hot at the moment. They scored 14 times over the last 5 games. Anyway, their defense fails them way too often: 11 goals were conceded.
Tonight, it might play out as it does most of the time in hambirg: both teams start slow, testing their respective opponent before trying something. In the 2nd half, both should start to attack.
Thus, I think more goals in 2nd half are a good pick here.
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Hamburger SV vs Paderborn prediction
|More goals in 2nd half||Bet365||1.95||8||1-0 LOST (-8 units)|