Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv will face Botev Plovdiv in a local derby match from Bulgarian Parva Liga.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv take the 9th position in the league from 14 teams , so it's part of the relegation group where are the teams from 7th to 14th position. Lokomotiv is a strange mix of Bulgarian players and foreigners, most of them from Croatia, but don't lie to yourself- their quality is average. We can not expect too much from them but it really depends what day will have the players. Their results are kinda weird, because they can lose at home against teams like Slavia(2:4), even Cherno More(0:2) which are very weak travelers, but also can surprise the big clubs like 1:0 win against Levski and 1:0 against the champions Ludogorets in Razgrad. Yeah, in that period Ludogorets were a real mess with the previous coach and the result is not so surprising, but still the team has potential. What frightens me in this club is the coach- I really don't trust a lot in Bruno Akrapovic. The Bosnian coach changes his clubs almost every year and I think the biggest club he lead was Shekendija for an year. He came from RNK Split in 2017 and it's not so strange a lot of Croatians are part of the club right now. We will see what they will do in the league, but I don't expect too much by them- maybe a place from 7th to 10th position.
Only Milos Petrovic and Rosen Andonov will miss this game for Loko Plovdiv. Their recent results are not too optimistic. In the last two home games they lost twice against CSKA and Ludogorets with 0:1, but it's true these are maybe the two best clubs in Bulgaria in the last seasons together with Levski. In the last round Lokotomiv faced Vereya Stara Zagora, the last team in the table with only 5 points, and made a draw 2:2 in a match full of chances for both clubs. Even 3:3 would be deserved final, but both teams missed chances. From one side it's good Loko created chances and scored two of them, but the negative side is that their opponent was too weak and had only 7 goals scored in 16 games. That doesn't speak good about the defense of the team and it is going to be very hard to stop Botev's players in such a moment.
Botev are 5th in the table, very close to the 4th place. Their main target is to take EL qualifications place no matter with the domestic league or the cup. They don't have any serious injuries and the group of players is the same like in their last game. It was against the 4th in the ranking- Beroe and they totally smashed them at home with 4:1. That was an outstandingly good win for Botev in a game, which was expected to be equal, but turned into the weakest match of the season for Beroe. Botev's midfielders and the attacking players were so creative and used almost every single chance they had. It's true, two of the goals were scored after single mistakes by Beroe's defenders, but still counts.. Botev are not the best travelers, don't have to lie to you- 4W-1D-3L in 8 games and in these matches they always beat the teams from the 2nd part of the table, while against the best lose points. It's pretty normal for Bulgaria..
It's a derby match between local teams, but the situation in Bulgarian teams usually changes a lot after almost every season. I really don't recommend you to look a lot at H2H between the teams in the previous seasons, because most of the clubs change a lot of their players and coaches every year or two..I will only pay attention to their last game in the start of the season. It was in August and I expected a lot of chances and goals, but the teams were obviously not in form and we saw only one goal in the end after a corner kick by Iliev for Lokomotiv. There were 2 goal chances for the whole match, which was disappointing.
Tomorrow I expect more open match between teams, which will want to win the derby for sure and are in much better condition. Lokomotiv can create chances, that's obvious, but it's hard to score more than a goal, while the visitors have excellent players in midfield and attack, the quality of their team in higher for me, and know how to score goals, no matter at home or playing as guests. The draw against Vereya, which team is something like a punch bag in the league, is likely to reflect on the confidence of the host's players. I chose to pick Botev to win(DNB), not only because of the momentum of the last round results, but also because they lost at home the derby and will want to take a revenge for sure. Draw is not excluded here, but if there is a winner, Botev are much closer to it. I really can not see Loko to win once again against such an inspired Botev.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv prediction
|Botev(DNB)||Bet365||1.80||9||0-2 WON (+7.2 units)|