Rubin Kazan vs Dynamo Moscow
*Today I will post 4 matches with higher odds, but which have real chance to happen. I hate to play EL games, have to say that yesterday's record of 2 wins and 2 losses was very bad(couldn't post in time, because of the 3 hours rule, Qarabag-Sporting-2). In comparison with all the right picks in CL matches from this and previous round, these results are negative for me. Now I will concentrate on domestic league matches. All the odds will be over 2 or even higher, so in case you like something, you can try it. From December will change the strategy a little bit to give much more correct picks, want much higher hit rate than 52%, but the odds will drop a little, still over 1.40/1.50 :) There will be a mix of sports for sure and the picks will not be regular as in the last couple of days.
In this game Rubin Kazan will host Dynamo Moscow. I will try to point only the most important things about this game and why I chose that pick. First of all, Rubin and Dynamo are located in the second part of the table- 8th against the 12th. Strangely or not Rubin are the second best home team with 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss. It's normal with such stats to be amongst the best in Russia, where happen a lot of low-scoring matches and draws, so with 4 wins in 8 games and just 1 loss, only Zenit are infront of them in this part of the stats. Dynamo playing as visitors are still looking for their first win. They have 0 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, which is not so bad, they are very tough opponent, when you have to host them, especially in the last couple of weeks, because their defense is stable enough not to receive more than a goal. Infact even a team like Zenit have 3 losses as visitors, the same number as Dynamo's losses, but the differences comes mostly of the number of wins instead of draws when we look only their away games.
They met themselves a month ago in the Russian cup where Rubin beat Dynamo with 1:0 at home thanks to a goal by Azmoun in the beginning of the 2nd half. Nowadays, when both teams are struggling and have much weaker teams as quality, it's hard to imagine they can produce a goal show. Since the returning of Dynamo in the Russian Premier Liga(2017) after they were in the lower division for one season, Dynamo's stars left the club and now without any real high quality players, it's not surprising they have 4 matches with Rubin and the results are: 0:0/ 0:0/ 1:1/ 1:0 for Rubin in the cup. Two of these games were played in Kazan and finished 0:0 and 1:0.
Both teams will also miss a few important players. Rubin will be without the suspended Ruslan Kambolov plus Konovalov, Flores, Dzhanaev and Fedor Kudryashov is doubtful, while the visitors will miss the suspended players Evgeniev, Morozov, Tetteh plus Samba Sow.
I know under 1.5 goals is a risky pick, but really has it's own logic when you look at their last couple of results. The only frighten for me will be if Dynamo score somehow the first goal. Then there will be a high possibility to fail. If it's without a goal in the 1st half or the hosts take the lead during the game, the chances for correct pick will be much higher. Under 2.5 goals is the golden pick here, but the odds are too low about 1.35/1.40 which is not temptating at all. Hope that Rubin defensive line will do their job perfectly well and will keep a clean sheet.
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Rubin Kazan vs Dynamo Moscow prediction
|under 1.5 goals||Pinnacle||2.33||9||1-1 LOST (-9 units)|