Cherno More vs Etar
Cherno More Varna will host Etar Veliko Tarnovo in the 17th round of Bulgarian A Grupa.
These two teams are very equal as quality right now and it's not surprising they are next to each other in the table at 6th and 7th position. Cherno More are known as very strong team at home, but sometimes they are keen on making surprising missings of points against even the weakest teams in Bulgaria. For example Vitosha Bistritsa was the only team during the last season without a single win until in the very end of the season they took it against Cherno More with 1:0. This season we also have one very weak team in the league- Vereya Stara Zagora, but they would beat Vitosha for sure..Bistritsa were so bad during the previous season, such a mess and still Cherno More found a way to make such a result. On the other side this is also a team which can take points from the leaders, so it's very hard to predict what face they will show.
Tomorrow they will face team from their cathegory and that's one of these little bit unpredictable matches, where the start of the game is very important. If we don't see a goal in the first 20-30 minutes, it can easily finish even 0:0. Tomorrow the weather will be cold and the pitch is also not in perfect condition, because of the low temperatures. I know Cherno More more than perfect, because I am their supporter for a lot of years, but the team doesn't perform well when it comes to the last rounds before the winter break. There are still 4 rounds including this one and the programme is not that bad. This game against Etar is looking to be very, very close and without showing much football qualities and goal chances.
Last season these two teams made two draws- one goalless draw in Varna and 1:1 in Tarnovo. This season Cherno More made once again 1:1 in Tarnovo against Etar, so I don't exclude another draw in Varna at all. It's very harsh to play football in the eastern part of Bulgaria during these very cold and windy days and on a pitch in not that good condition. Etar are also in progress as a current form, much better than the previous season and their coach is one of the Bulgarian legends from the golden years of our football- Krasimir Balakov.
Both teams have injury problems and that will influence on them for sure. Cherno More will be without their regular GK Blagoy Makendzhiev, Zehirov, Emil Yanchev, Mehdi Fenusch and the suspended left back Konongo. The visitors will miss also a few very important players- their polyvalent midfielder Alasana Mane is injured and that's a very big blow for the team. Also they will be without the regular defender Ventsislav Vasilev, one of the strikers Erik Pochanski and the defensive midfielder Yani Pehlivanov.
I think Etar will try to slow the game from the very first minutes of the game and will try to find a few chances for a goal on counters. Cherno More will have no problems with the slow tempo, because that's also part of their style. Over 2.5 goals in a game between these two clubs and in such conditions will be outstandingly big surprise for me- 0:0, 1:0 win for one of the clubs or 1:1, that's the most expected results here for sure. The chances for a draw with a goal in both nets or without any goals are not bad at all, so I am going with this pick. First game of the round, a few matches till the winter break for the clubs, both clubs will miss a few important players and are next to each other in the ranking+ the weather conditions..X
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Cherno More vs Etar prediction
|Draw+ under 2.5 goals||Bet365||3.90||7||1-0 LOST (-7 units)|