Glenavon vs Ards
Glenavon host Ards in the 17th round of NIFL at Mourneview Park.
Glevanon finished at 3rd place during the last season and their place is the same right now in NIFL, although the team has 2 matches in hand in comparison with the leaders Ballymena and one match less than Linfield. So, it can be said the team has real chances to think even about the trophy. They are not in their best form as in the last three games they earned 1 draw at home against Warrenpoint- 1:1(missed a penalty and had full dominance) and also two defeats as visitors against direct opponents for the title- Ballymena(2:1) and Crusanders(3:0 in the last round). No doubt Glenavon will be eager to bounce back to the wins after the classical loss against last season champions of NIFL. Just before this three matches row of negative results they beat another team in the relegation zone- Newry City with 2:0 at home, harder than expected with 2 goals in the last 10 minutes. It wasn't the most impressive performance for sure, but now the opponent is the last in the table Ards, so no problems are expected for the hosts at all. Glenavon have a player-manager(38 years old Gary Hamilton), but they rely on two very talented strikers who are the main goalscorers of the club- Stephen Murray and Andrew Mitchell.
Ards look like a team which is the main pretender for relegation. In the last round they lost even against the 2nd worst team in the table(Newry City) as visitors with 2:0. They impressed a little bit in the start of the season after they earned a goalless draw against Linfield as visitors and 4:2 loss against Crusanders again away from home, after it was 2:2 after more than an hour. In the recent matches their form is looking very poor, especially away from home and I don't see how they can avoid the loss against team like Glenavon when the hosts will be eager to win for sure and maybe with difference.
I expect Glenavon to win comfortable here with difference. They don't have much problems H2H against Ards in the recent seasons. The last three games were played in Ards stadium and Glenavon beat them three times with 0:2, 1:6 and 0:2. At home they are also perfect against Ards. I am going with -1.5 AH for the hosts.
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Glenavon vs Ards prediction
|1 (-1.5 AH)||Bet365||1.62||9||3-1 WON (+5.58 units)|