Greece vs Finland
Greece will host Finland in a match from Group 2 in League C.
Greece are in a huge trouble, because after 4 rounds Finland is in the 1st position with max 12 points after three wins with 1:0 against Estonia(two times) and Hungary+ 2:0 against Greece at home. 2nd in the table are Greece with 6 points with home home games left against Finland and Estonia. Hungary are with 4 points with no chances for promotion, while Estonia have only 1 point and are almost for sure the team which will be relegated to League D.
So, it's obvious Finland are so close to promotion with 12 points and 5:0 goal difference, while Greece are with 6 points and 3:4 goal difference. But still the game is not finished. After the loss in Finland with 2:0, now Greece will need a win with two goal difference+ clean sheet(2:0) or a win with 3+goal difference to save any chances for the top spot. Finland are good defensively, but 2:0 is absolutely possible score, which can save the Greeks into the game. In the last round Hungary will host Finland and if we see a home win there, then everything will be in Greek's hands how much goals will score to Estonia at home.
First of all Greece have to concentrate only on this match. The most important thing is to score a goal in the 1st half and mostly not to receive a goal during the game. I am sure they will play with their best players, mostly in defense. Manolas is the man to match, because he is not only extremely good in defense, but also knows how to score goals. The odds on Greece have increased in the last days, because they have a new coach after Michael Skibbe was fired and now they have a Greek coach- Angelos Anastasiadis. He was a coach of a lot Greek clubs like Larissa, PAS Giannina, PAOK, Platanias, even the Cypriot national team. He speaks the players’ language and is famous for being a master on the psychological part when preparing a game. He has been in charge just for a few days, but the players know him very well and what Greece mostly need right now is not a new sophisticated tactical plan, but SELF-CONFIDENCE, and Anastasiadis is that kind of guy who can pump a player’s self-confidence in a matter of minutes.
On the other side are Finland and they usually play with 4-4-2. They will play defensively for sure, because even 1:0 loss in Greece will earn them a promotion. The rules are that when two teams are with equal points(if Greece win both games and Finland lose both games they will be with 12 points), first you have to look at the points they earned H2H(it will be 3:3) and second you have to look at the goal difference(2:1 for Finland). If somehow Greece won with 3:1, this result also means a promotion of Finland because of the 3rd rule about goals away from home H2H. If it finishes 2:0 for Greece, then we have to look at both teams goal difference if they finish with equal points.So, Greece will play for 2:0/3:0 for sure as final result here, while Finland will try to avoid a loss with more than a goal difference. 1:0 loss in Greece will be perfect for the Scandinavian team, when they know how good are the Greeks at home, unless they have to face the very best teams in Europe. Finland are obviously not amongst them!
Greece will be without a lot of players: Karnezis(GK), Oikonomou(DF), Lykogiannis(DF), Papadopoulos(DF), Stafylidis(DF), Retsos(DF), Fetfatzidis(MF), Tziolis(MF), Christodoulopoulos(MF) and Donis(FW). Infact only Tziolis is a player, who was in the October line-ups for Greece, so he will be the only important missing player in midfield. Still they have excellent attacking players like Mitroglou, Pelkas, Fortounis and Bakasetas. Finland will also miss a few players like Raitala(DF), Schuller(MF), Tim Sparv(MF), Pohjanpalo(FW), Sadik(FW), Vayrynen(FW) and Karjalainen(FW). From these missing players Raitala is very important as a left-back, but the miss of players in midfield like Schuller and mostly Tim Sparv will have an enormous influence. Without them they have to rely mostly on Dundee midfielder Kamara to stop Zeca in the center of the midfield- mission impossible for me, when we know what is the condition and self-condifence of the players in this Scottish club right now. Yeah, Kamara scored in Finland against Greece, but now he is the man who has to carry on the midfield line, not Sparv! Pukki will be the most dangerous player in Finland's line-up for sure and no doubt the Greek defense will keep an eye on him.
I will pick Greece to win this game and if the fortune is on their side, they can do their job to win with 2:0. It's not very expected when we know that Finland still didn't concede a goal, but that's football and everything can happen. What is for sure, Greece will dominate and are big favourites for the win.
World's leading bookmaker
Greece vs Finland prediction
|1||Pinnacle||2.20||9||1-0 WON (+10.8 units)|