San Marino vs Moldova
That's a match from Group 2 in League D between San Marino and Moldova.
I wrote in the preview Luxembourg-Belarus what's the situation in this group and that Moldova have almost 0% chances for the 1st place, but still they will have to play for two wins against San Marino and Luxembourg, at least to defend their own pride, the pride of Moldova.
San Marino is the weakest side in Europe for sure and even scoring a goal is a miracle for them. Every single team beat them to nill, so I strongly recommend you to play this match Moldova to win to nill at 1.40 odds!
I chose to play a little bit different here and try something strangely and I think never did before in betshoot- to point a correct score as a pick in football. This is by far the hardest thing, because you need a lot of luck, but will give it a try ( you don't have to place a lot of money on it, maybe a little one, just to try if you like it). So, it's 0:2 win for Moldova as a correct score at 4.33 odds in bet365.
Why I chose it? San Marino are not playing better in attack, that's obvious, with 0:13 goal difference after 4 rounds, they will be the worst team in the Nations League for sure and the difference will become worse and worse in the next two games. But strangely or not, they don't concede so much, app.3 goals per match, while the real goal chances are much more. Maybe they did it, because they make a lot of fouls and that leads to yellow cards and suspensions, but it's also an option to stop your opponent's attacks. Alex Gasperoni(MF) will be the only missing player for San Marino, because of suspension.
In the first game between them in Moldova, the hosts won with 2:0 with two goals by Ginsari in the middle of the 1st and 2nd half. The goal chances were much more, but were missed by the Modovians. Infact, Moldova haven't scored three goals in a single match since 2014, when they did it against Andorra and Saudi Arabia in friendlies. That's one of the reason I think Moldova will not succeed to score once again more than two times.They have quality midfield, stable defensive line, but they really don't impress with good forwards. Also the motivation will be not so high- they just need the win to keep very little chances for anything better in the group and a draw in the other match betwen Luxembourg and Belarus.
H2H in the last 8 years they have 6 matches and Moldova didn't concede a goal in all of them winning three times at home with 4:0, 3:0 and 2:0, while as visitors they always win with 0:2. Nothing drastically changed in the last years- Moldova can take something from teams from their cathegory, beat the worst sides like San Marino and they usually lose against the better teams, while San Marino gift points to every single opponent they have to face. Generous nation for sure :)) I am sure Moldova will take the win, unless it happens something dramatically like two/three red cards for Moldova or Moldova to score themselves an own goal. It's more than expected to be with a clean sheet, but not so big as a difference. I am going with 0:2 as a correct score with fingers crossed.
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San Marino vs Moldova prediction
|0:2 CS||Bet365||4.33||5||0-1 LOST (-5 units)|