Andorra vs Georgia
That's a match from Group 1 in League D between Andorra and Georgia.
First of all have to say everything in this group is already decided and Georgia will finish 1st in the group with Kazakhstan, Andorra and Latvia and will be promoted to League C, while the last one, maybe it will be Andorra, can not drop lower than League D, so that is going to be an open match without any pressure on both sides.
Why I chose to take Georgia with AH?
First I will start with Andorra. At the beginning they started with two surprising draws as visitors against Latvia(0:0) and at home against Kazakhstan(1:1). Then they were beaten twice by Georgia(3:0) and Kazakhstan(4:0) and somehow everything started to become normal, because that's one of the poorest contries, when we talk about football qualities- over 2/3 of the team are not professionals and have their second, maybe even third job. Almost 90% of their squad play in the domestic league in teams like Santa Coloma, Andorra and Inter d'Escaldes. Personally for me, only San Marino and Lichtenstein+Gibraltar(it's not sure) are weaker than Andorra in Europe right now. Strangely or not, their main goalscorer is the defender Ildefons Lima, who is almost 39 years old, while their forward tomorrow is likely to be Juli Sanchez from Santa Coloma, who is 40 years old, maybe in partnership with Marc Pujol. Their team can not be named as young for sure, because the main defenders are about 30 years old or even older, it's the same with the midfield line, while the forwards tomorrow are expected to be 40 and 36 years old. It's not strange that in their 4 games, they have only 2 shots ON TARGET and one of them led to a point against Kazakhstan in the end of the match after a goal by Jordi Alaez. Well, their only goalscorer till now is suspended for tomorrow's game after the red card he received in Astana, together with two other missing forwards- Alex Martinez and Gabi Riera.
On the other side is Georgia. What to say about this team- 4 matches till now, 4 wins, 1st place already guaranteed and goal difference 9:0. Vladimir Weiss is by far their best coach during this century and absolutely deserved they will play in League C during the next Nations League. In both away matches they beat Kazakhstan with 0:2 and Latvia with 0:3. Infact they could beat Latvia in October with even bigger difference- missed penalty, post..So, when we take that Andorra is weaker than Latvia and Kazakhstan, with depleted squad when we talk about the attack and placing shots on target, and Georgia beat the other opponents with at least two goal difference as visitors, Andorrians can not expect much about tomorrow's game. Georgia will be once again without players like Georgi Makaridze(GK), Giorgi Aradidze(MF), Giorgi Kvilitaia(FW), Tornike Okriashvili(attacking midfielder), Giorgi Papunashvili(winger) and Levan Mchedlidze(FW). Almost all of them were out during October's games, so maybe Weiss will repeat the team against Latvia with one or two changes. Still players like Qazaishvili, Kankava, Gvilia and Chakvetadze are part of the team and it's normal at least three of them to start from the beginning. They are the main goalscorers in the Nations League for Georgia, so that's good news for sure. They create a lot of goal chances with Weiss as a coach and I am sure tomorrow's game will be totally one-sided, it only depends how many of the chances will be scored by Georgia. All at all, with Weiss ahead during 2018 they have 8 wins(all of them to nill) and 1 loss against Luxembourg.
In their first match in Georgia we saw absolutely one-sided game and only the missings of the Georgian players let the result to be 1:0 until 80 minute. Well, it finished 3:0 after full time and I am expecting similar result. Both teams will play without pressure and the quality of the Georgian players has to prevail. They have the players to score goals for sure.
0:2/0:3 is my prediction for tomorrow's game, so I am going with -1.5 AH for the guests.
Andorra vs Georgia prediction
|2 (-1.5 AH)||Pinnacle||2.18||9||1-1 LOST (-9 units)|