Khimki vs Barcelona
Interesting game between two teams with very different styles of play and this is going to be a strange matchup.
Barcelona is stronger in the front line and the paint with the likes of Singleton, Seraphin, and Tomic, while they have a huge edge in rebounding as they rank second in the league (38.6 RPG), gathering a massive 11 rebounds more than Khimki per E.L. game (!) and should they play it smart, like they are expected to, they will use that strength to get a hefty amount of points on fast breaks.
Sure thing is that they will also do a lot of damage with pick and rolls and towering center Tomic in set plays against a team that has struggled to limit the damage from the paint but also from beyond the arc with Kuric, Heurtel, and Pangos, so scoring won't be much of an issue for Barca today.
Khimki finally recorded their first win of the season in E.L. after a couple tough, unfortunate loses (Milano, Efes), boosted their morale and they are starting to get confident again but there is no room for errors and especially at home where they must win games like this one against Barca if they are about to qualify for the next round considering the fact that Milano, Bayern, and Efes have stepped up and are legitimate contenders for a playoff spot.
Khimki announced the signing of G.Green (15ppg in Europe Cup last season) adding another spot-up shooter to their roster.
Khimki ranks top in 3P per game with 12.6 but at the same time, they are the second most efficient team from 2P shooting with 58.4%. Looking for fast breaks with constant pressure on the ball to force turnovers and quick shot attempts in every opportunity are among their main characteristics.
Barcelona's defense has slightly improved recently but they still allow a bit more than 84 points per game on the road in EL. Khimki on the other side, allowed 87 (Olympiacos) and 85 (Efes) in their most competitive home games for the EL so far.
The lines opened initially at 160 but dropped quickly to 157, though I can't find a good reason for that and i the odds indicate that there is a 40% chance there will be more than 162 points in this game, i strongly believe that there are 60% chances (1.70 odds) as both teams should reach 80 points in what will be a close game.
Khimki vs Barcelona prediction
|Over 162.5 (Alternative Game Totals)||Bet365||2.50||8||80-87 WON (+12 units)|