Gefle vs AFC Eskilstuna
Final match day in swedens 2nd league, with Gefle hosting AFC.
Gefle is last but one and will be relegated after this match. AFC, on the other hand, will go to the playoffs, trying to be promoted to Allsvenskan (again).
In fact, none of these teams has anything to win (or to loose) in this match. AFC might want to play it slow to conserve some energy; Gefle might want to win one last game.
Yet, AFCs record on the road's quite intriguing: They played 14 games so far (4W, 8D, 2L) with a total of 11(!) to 7(!!) goals. Their last 3 matches on the road all ended 0-0. Basically, AFC's just going for a scoreless game anytime they leave Eskilstuna. Their defense is astonishing...
Gefle conceded 31 goals in 14 games at home while scoring 16.
Their first matchup ended in a draw (1-1).
There's a great chance that AFC won't allow another goal here. They play it safe anyway and should be able to end this game to nil. Gefle shouldn't be too motivated. This game should end 0:0 or 0:1 or so.
Anyway, since the odds are that good, we may play it safe. Taking into account that it's in fact some sort of a friendly, there's a chance for BTTS or an higher than expected win. So I'm gladly taking the 1,75 odds offered for under 3 goals (AH). To me, this seems to be PLENTY of value.
If you dare you might very well go for Under 2,5 goals here - the odds are around 2,2, which is just awesome...
Gefle vs AFC Eskilstuna prediction
|Under 3 Goals (AH)||Bet365||1.75||10||2-2 LOST (-10 units)|