Napoli vs Empoli
Napoli will host Empoli tomorrow night at Stadio San Paolo.
Napoli are looking to close the gap with the leaders Juventus, at least before Juve's home game against Cagliari on Saturday. Three points are absolutely required for the hosts and I am confident they will find the way to take them, even easier than it's maybe expected. I was really impressed by the football they played in France against PSG. They absolutely deserved to take the three points, but late equalizer by Di Maria still makes their place in the 1/8 finals in CL insecure. 7 points in 3 matches would be like a dream for them and both wins to be against their direct opponents PSG and Liverpool, but now they have 5, still with big chances to continue in the next CL round, but they just don't have to lose against PSG in Italy. This match is on Tuesday, so maybe they will not give their max against Empoli, but with players like Mertens and Insigne, goals can come very fast mostly against a team with weak defense like Empoli. In their last game Mertens and Insigne destroyed Empoli just for one half scoring three times and also missing a penalty, so what I highly expect tomorrow night is to see Insigne on the scoreboard. He is the leading goalscorer of the team and at home against Empoli I really don't know what will stop him from scoring at least once.
Empoli are in really not so optimistic form. In the bottom of the table in the relegation zone with only Frosinone and Chievo Verona behind them, it's really not a nice place to be, but this club has to do a lot of work in the winter pause to save themselves from relegation. Two rounds ago even Frosinone were close to beat them scoring 3 times, but finally it finished as a 3:3 draw. If they want to find a way to score against Napoli, Caputo is the one who can do it. He is the leading goalscorer of Empoli and in the last round he even scored against Juve. Still that's a club which has big problems in their away games against the best clubs in Italy and it's not very expected to score tomorrow against Napoli.
Verdi(f), Younes(f), Luperto(d), Ounas(m) and Chiriches(d) are out for the hosts, while the visitors will be without Mchedlidze(f), Jakupovic(f), Rodriguez(f) and Polvani(d).
The class is totally on Napoli's side for sure, they have very good stats against Empoli winning their last two home games against them 2:0 and 5:1. When you can not beat the teams from your cathegory like Frosinone and Chievo Verona as guests, you just can not expect much against maybe the second best team in Italy right now as quality. I expect fast start by the hosts in this game and taking the lead before HT. They will want to save energy for their much harder test against PSG on Tuesday, but still one expressive win is always helpful for the players, especially after failing to beat Rome in the last round.
I think Napoli will finish this match in the first half, but still prefer to play for the hosts with -1.5 AH than Napoli to lead in both halves. We see a lot of comebacks in Serie A from the biggest clubs, mostly playing as guests, but still have more confidence playing Napoli to win with two goals difference or more. 2:0/3:0/3:1- that's the most expected results for me in this game.
Napoli vs Empoli prediction
|Napoli -1.5 AH||Pinnacle||1.77||9||5-1 WON (+6.93 units)|