Georgia vs Andorra
Georgia will face Andorra in their 3rd match from group 1 in league D.
These two sides don't have any recent matches, but for me there is a huge difference about their quality. After San Marino, Lichtenstein and maybe Gibraltar, Andorra are the weakest European side and the results proved it. In the last 12 of their away games, which are important right now for this pick, they have 2 wins and they were against Lichtenstein(0:1) and San Marino(o:2). In all of the other away matches they registered both draws and losses, but without scoring a goal. So, it's highly unexpected to see them scoring against Georgia in Tbilisi, especially when one of their midfielders Jordi Alaez is suspended due to yellow cards and three of their attacking players- Sebas Gomez, Alex Martinez and Gabi Riera won't take part tomorrow in this away match.
On the other side Georgia are full with confidence, because everything looks like a fairytale for them since the start of the Nations League. They want the 1st place and the promotion to league C and what a better start than 2 wins against Kazakhstan as guests(0:2) and Latvia(1:0) at home. Georgia is a team which have the power to destroy such an opponent, but it's all about the precision in the final third. There is no doubt this match will be one-sided and Andorra will be defending during almost all of the time, something like what happened today in the match Moldova-San Marino. The difference is that Georgia have some really good players in midfield and attack, which can make the things even easier.
I was thinking a lot how to play this match as a main pick, but when I saw Giorgi Kvilitaia(main forward) will miss the game due to foot injury, I decided to miss playing an over 2.5 goals in this match. Still Georgia have good attacking-minded players like Okriashvili, Qazaishvili, Gvilia and Kacharava and why not also to expect any goal from the defenders after free or corner kick.. Georgia is tough opponent and I am confident they will try to decide the outcome of the match as fast as they can in their favour to secure another three points.
My prediction here is 2:0 for Georgia and that's the reason to play it -1.5 AH for the hosts. Another good pick, but with smaller odds(1.33) is Georgia to win to nill.
Georgia vs Andorra prediction
|Georgia -1.5 AH||Pinnacle||1.56||9||3-0 WON (+5.04 units)|