Alba Berlin vs Tofas Bursa
Eurocup, Day 1
Alba will host in Berlin Turkish team Tofas. The home team to cover was my initial thought. Even now when the line went few points higher, I still think about that bet. But, I like even more over the totals.
We know how Alba play. And that is some kind of run & gun basketball. Especially when they are at home, we can expect to those game would be with extremely high number of points.
This season they have started with home game in Bundesliga vs Jenna. The final score, 112:55. Yes, it's not mistake, +57 pts difference at the end. Ok, Jenna is not among better sides in Germany but still last season they were 14-20, so in the mid-standings.
Alba was in Eurocup also season ago. Back then in this first stage they went 6-4 and averaged 85 pts scored per game. At home this average was 90+ pts per game.
Tofas is yet to start its season in Turkey. Last time they were 2nd there but when playoff arrived they were without real chance for title. This team also was in Eurocup season ago. They weren't too successful and failed to reach Top 16. So, they end competition in the opening group stage, 4-6 was their overall record, 1-4 on the road. Tofas was far from competitive in away games back then. They were allowing 86 pts per game on the road and in those 4 losses the average pts margin was 11.
Alba Berlin vs Tofas Bursa prediction
|Over 164.5||Pinnacle||1.86||8||107-91 WON (+6.88 units)|