Crvena zvezda vs Ulm (By: FairPlayBet)
Eurocup, Day 1
Crvena zvezda will host German Ulm. I expect from Serbian team to start this competition with a win. After few straight years competing in the Euroleague, CZ is back to Eurocup. Less quality competition but IMO the host is with same or even more quality roster than earlier.
Start of the season was decent. Zvezda has won the ABA Super Cup, they have won three games there including final game against last season ABA champion, Buducnost. BTW, it was quite easy win for CZ.
At the start of the new regular season in ABA, CZ has won here at home against Cibona. That wasn't too good game although it ended with 10 pts difference. What more head coach Tomic said it was embarrassing performance from his team and he gave apology to the 4000 fans who attended the game.
I feel such words will affect on positive way and the players will enter today's match with much more seriously approach and more focused. Against Cibona this wasn't the case but still Zvezda was decent 7 pts up till halftime.
On the mentioned ABA Super Cup against two strong opponents (Cedevita in SF and Buducnost in the final), it was very positive that Serbian champion had both times great game opening and really early made crucial points advantage.
It's true that CZ has new coach from this season, it's true they have heavily changed roster but looking overall everything we saw so far, my opinion is this looks quite decent.
On the other side Ulm has started in the German Bundesliga with home game vs Bayern Munich. They have lost that game few days ago with 77:83. We can't make some bigger conclusion on that one match. Firstly, Bayern is best team there so loss from them is not a failure. Plus, although Bayern took early control there and had nice pts advantage early, Ulm was back and late in the game they were tied and had chance to win. Still, I am not convincing Ulm is good enough to be serious threat on the road to opponent more quality than they are.
Ulm has few players who were in ABA league in previous seasons. Those are Ryan Thompson who was exactly in Crvena zvezda few seasons ago, then Katin Reinhardt who was in Igokea and Patrick Miller who was briefly in Partizan. Neither of them showed to be some too high level.
I expect Crvena zvezda to win and to cover. Still, the line went maybe too high. From initial 6.5 that was available here and there, now it is 8.5 the lowest you can find. I opted for -4 in the first half. As mentioned above, I expect positive reaction after not too good game vs Cibona, I expect strong game opening and I'm confident about covering this halftime spread.
Crvena zvezda vs Ulm prediction
|CZ -4 halftime||Pinnacle||1.92||8||46-43 LOST (-8 units)|