Serbia vs Spain
Water Polo, European Championship, final match
Serbia will face Spain. IMO there should be no doubt here, Serbia should win the gold that would be their 4th straight title of European champion. So, almost even odds on -1.5 handicap seems tempting but still, I will try only with simple 1x2 win cause after what we saw in semifinals, we should be more careful.
In the semifinals Serbia completely outplayed Croatia and final 9:7 doesn't show exactly how good Serbia was. And note Croatia is the second best team here after Serbia.
But, other SF showed that Serbs won't have easy task in the finals. It's not that Spain was too great, they were not. But, Spain was heavily pushed by the refs (they are the host of the tournament) and completely undeserved to be in this finals. They started well, had 4:1 but more quality Italian team turned things around and took 7:5 lead. Still, the game ended 8:7 Spain after some fishy refs decisions to say at least, especially in last seconds when Italy clearly scored for 8:8 but by the referees opinion that wasn't a goal although entire ball was in.
So, no wonder if we see again big help from the refs for host. You know, Water Polo is a sport where referees knows to be crucial cause sometimes it's very small difference between faul and offensive faul.
But, I hope Serbia will be above this. I hope Serbia will play one more time their A game and then even referees wouldn't be able to prevent them winning this finals.
IMO at least some minimal victory is expected. I must put aside the fact Spain is host and I must go with quality that is far on Serbian side.
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Serbia vs Spain prediction
|Serbia 1x2||Bet365||1.50||10||7-7 LOST (-10 units)|