Tofas vs Fenerbahce Ulker
Game 4 of the Turkish playoffs finals. Fenerbahce is currently 2-1 up in this series.
After winning both of the two first at home, Fenerbahce has lost the previous time in first road game of this finals. Final score back then, 91:88 Tofas.
Obviously Fenerbahce defense failed. Simply 91 points allowed was too much for a team whose defense is considered to be the best and who is allowing barely above 70 pts in average.
I don't think we will see again such poor defensive effort from Fener while their offense is on high level as always.
By the way, in regular season meeting with Tofas here in Bursa, Fener also scored exactly 88 but back then that was enough for convincing victory, 71:88. In regular season mutual meeting at home, Fenerbahce also has won in a style, 98:78.
Furthermore, the first two games of this playoffs finals also were more or less easy victories for Fenerbahce, especially the first one, 103:63. The game No.2 ended with 86:78.
So, we can talk about Game 3 loss as a surprise no matter Tofas was second best after Fenerbahce in the regular season. Plus it was a loss after Sammy Mejia has scored three point winning shot in last seconds of the match. But we can find the reasons maybe in fact Fener was a little bit weakened back then. Jan Vesely and James Nunnally both missed the game with injuries. Also, if I am not wrong there is rule about limit of non Turkish players in the team. Thus, Jason Thompson and Marko Gudurić probably will be the two to be cut off today. But I think Fenerbahce will look stronger today. I think we will see some players back while who ever remaines outside the roster this time, I really don't see big deal cause let's be realistic, Fenerbahce is superb team with roster of 15 equally great players, 10 of those are foreigners. So, we just need a little bit bigger effort then last time and IMO everything would be fine.
Also, note this finals is best of 7 series. So, in some hand maybe it was expected after 2-0 at home, Fener to lose one of two on the road and then to close the finals at home in Game 5.
That's exactly what I expect here to happen. 4-1 final score in the series.
Today I opted for HT-FT option, 2/2.
P.S. Odds dropped heavily while I was writing the preview. So now we have only 1.58. It's not great value obviously but I'll remain with my initial choice and will use a little bit higher stake.
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Tofas vs Fenerbahce Ulker prediction
|HT-FT: 2/2||Bet365||1.58||9||77-95 WON (+5.22 units)|