Limoges vs Monaco
French basketball playoffs, semifinals, Game 4 in the series best of 5.
Limoges will host Monaco one more time after the home team won the previous game, 76:71 and thus prolonged this series for at least one more match. So, current score is 2-1 Monaco and without road win in the series (88:71 and 78:71 for Monaco in first two games at home).
To be honest, I don't think we will see success for a road team either today. Seems to me here we have very strong home trend cause also both regular season meetings were split with both sides winning games at home. Back then Limoges has won here 82:74.
There is no doubt Monaco who was No.1 in the regular season is the best French team at this point. But, we should also mentioned Limoges is the greatest French club ever, club with amazing support when playing at home. Their hall of 5500 seats is always crowded and those people knows basketball. So, no wonder why Limoges' 15-2 regular season home record was the best in the league. Counting also the playoffs, Limoges is now 18-2 at home in this season.
Game 3 of this series really was impressive. The fans went crazy and they had big impact in the great Limoges' comeback. Namely Monaco had 17 pts advantage at one point but Limoges managed to get back in the game and not just to cover hanicap (+6.5 was back then) but also to win the match.
Seems like bookies finally realized how huge home court advantage is for Limoges. So now we have much lower handicap but I already said, my expectation is we will see the 5th game so I'll gladly take any points on the Limoges side here.
Of course it's not the home court the only in what I hope for. Limoges has quite decent roster too, four to five Americans. As a matter fact Mouhammadou is the only non American player in their starting five.
Monaco has probably a little bit more respected American players but I really don't think they should be favorites on this visit. Also, Elmedin Kikanović for example (people from this ex Yug region knows him very welll) suddenly is one of their best player, and we are talking about guy who in the past had to take some illegal stuff to stay competitive.
Today Monaco will be without Paul Lacombe who is suspended.
The bottom line, Monaco didn't convince me they should be favorite here in Game 4, especially not after such wasted Game 3.
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Limoges vs Monaco prediction
|Limoges +4.5||Pinnacle||1.95||8||83-94 LOST (-8 units)|