Gran Canaria vs Real Madrid
My final pick for today is from Spanish ACB. Playoffs semifinals, Game 3 in the series best of 3
The No. 1 from the regular season, Real Madrid, has won both first two games at home and now has chance to close this series with 3-0 sweep. IMO it will be so.
As I said in my pick on Real for the opening match, they raised the level of their form late in the season. Obviously, it had a lot to do with fact Real roster is much healthier now then it was during most of the season. You want see so often that any team experience such problems like Real did.
I also must admit that I underestimate Real on the Euroleague Final 4 tournament, my bet was on Fenerbahce. But Real proved me wrong. With Sergio Llull back in the team and playing extremely well and with healthy Luka Dončić, Real was completely different side. Not to talk they were stronger on center positions and that's where they have had the most injuries during entire season.
So, Real won EL trophy, while now in ACB they are very close too. Both games vs Gran Canaria were more or less easy victories although Real came short 2 pts in Game 2 to cover the handicap. But even those 9 pts difference from second match was nice result given Real was in double digits deficit back then.
Gran Canaria at home could be tougher opponent but I don't think they can win, not even to cover this +3.5 pts. Of course, with expected good game from Real in what I don't I doubt.
Have in mind Gran Canaria eliminated in the QF Valencia and thus they already achieved great goal and that's participating in the Euroleague next season. I think I am not wrong when say there is small decline in their form, in motivation, in approach, decline in everything after securing EL spot.
I expect to Real takes this game maximum seriously and to finish the job today what would give them plenty of time to prepare for the finals given on fact Baskonia - Barcelona could be long series.
Real Madrid -3.5, that's my bet.
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Gran Canaria vs Real Madrid prediction
|Real -3.5||Pinnacle||1.85||8||92-99 WON (+6.8 units)|