Alcorcon vs Reus Deportiu
Last round in Spain La Liga 2 and this is a match between Alcorcon and Reus.
First I will start with the fact that Reus are saved from relegation while Alcorcon need just a point here, which will be enough for them to be infront of Almeria, which team is in the relegation zone. Three teams are relegated yet and about five teams will be fighting not to finish in the last place which means relegation. So, there is a big chance all of the teams behind Alcorcon to win their matches, because there are no direct duels between them, so at least a point is absolutely required for the hosts.
If we exclude the last trashing win for the home team- 4:0 over Rayo Vallecano, it's really hard to find their recent home matches with more than a goal scored by both teams on the pitch. Tomorrow in a match between two teams which are not very motivated to win I can't see goals coming- under 2.5 goals is more than obvious pick here with odds about 1.50. What I think is that Reus won't succeed to score at all, because they are not one of the most resulting visitors in the league. If I have to be absolutely accurate they are the worst visitors when we talk about scored goals away from home with just 11 goals in 20 games which makes about 0.5 per game. Last visit at this stadium finished 1:0 for Alcorcon, so the same result can not be excluded for sure.
Borja Dominguez is likely to be Alcorcon's only absentee in this match, while the visitors will be without David Querol, who remains sidelined through injury, while Jesus Olmo is suspended.
In a match between Alcorcon which team recently scored goals at home so hard and will be also glad to a draw to secure their place in the division and hardly scoring visitors like Reus away from home, I can't see goals, not more than one for the home team. If Alcorcon were not required to win at least a point, 0:1 for Reus won't be excluded as a final result, but now..1:0 for Alcorcon or 0:0 are the most expected results for me. I won't be surprised if it happens a really dull match with a few goal chances. I will try something different with really good chances for success for me and it's under 1.5 goals. Under 2.5 goals is almost 100% guaranteed pick, but under 1.5 has not to be underestimated at all. A little bit riskier pick, but with great value!
Alcorcon vs Reus Deportiu prediction
|under 1.5 goals||Bet365||2.62||9||3-0 LOST (-9 units)|