Fenerbahce Ulker vs Banvitspor
Turkish playoffs, QF, Game 2
Fenerbahce is leading 1-0 after winning the opening match also here at home court. It wasn't too great game from Fener back then, first of all it wasn't great when defense is in question. Banvit scored too many points against best Turkish team. But with strong offensive effort Fenerbahce took the lead in the series. Final score 86:81.
Today probably we can expect Fenerbahce to cover the handicap cause they should not allow again huge number of points to guest. Note Fener together with Besiktas was best defense in the regular season (both just over 72 pts allowed per game). Not just in Turkey but Fenerbahce was the best defensive team also in the Euroleague.
Probably loss on the Euroleague Final 4 also affected a little bit on the home team, so they entered Turkish playoffs not completely focused. That being said, I expect better game from Zeljko Obradovic team now.
Still, handicap is really big, around 12.5 pts. As I said, my expectations are to Fener cover it but I feel more comfortable with option Team Totals.
Even with outstanding defensive effort, we could see here anything in the 4th quarter if potentially the winner is already decided. So, possible huge lead could drop on single digits at the end.
But Over 81.5 pts for Fener, this seems pretty realistic for me.
Fener is averaging 87.3 pts per game in the season overall and even 89.5 pts at home. In last eight straight games of the regular season, Fener has scored more or less easily over 81.5 pts every time. And all that in one very tough competition, you don't have in Turkish Super lig too many easy opponents.
Fenerbahce Ulker vs Banvitspor prediction
|Team total: Fener over 82 pts||Pinnacle||1.86||8||98-93 WON (+6.88 units)|