Olimpija vs Krka (By: FairPlayBet)
Slovenian basketball playoffs, Finals Game 5
So, Petrol Olimpija and Krka are tied at 2 wins each and today's game will give the answer who is the champion for 2017/18 season.
They split the first two games with both teams winning at home. Then in the third match Krka surprisingly made a break and took 2-1 lead in the series. But when in Game 4 Krka had chance to finish the job at home court, Olimpija made a rebreak and forced this crucial Game 5 in Ljubljana.
Back then in the 4th meeting, my bet was on Olimpija. As I said back then they should be IMO better of these two sides and that I believe they still can turn things around. But those were in Game 4 pk odds by the initial offer. On the opposite, now at home, Olimpija is big favorite by the odds, too big if you ask me.
I mean, I agree the host should not make mistake now after being successful in Game 4 on the road. I truly believe Olimpija will take the trophy. But, 10 pts handicap in the deciding match, it's simply too much.
Overall in the season counting playoffs and regular before that, it's 5-3 Olimpija. In this playoffs, Olimpija only in Game 1 was convincing and won more than 10 pts. Also the last two mutual games just before playoffs, both were very tied and decided by the single digit margin.
I also expect probably a bit lower score than we had in the first four games, and in most cases, on lower score it's more difficult to win with double digits.
So, Krka +10 is my call.
Olimpija vs Krka prediction
|Krka +10||Pinnacle||1.90||9||95-90 WON (+8.1 units)|