Ufa vs Tosno
Last round in the Russian league and Ufa host Tosno.
Ufa will give everything to keep the sixth place where they are located in the table right now. It gives a chance for EL qualification rounds and the win is absolutely required because there are a lot of teams behind them which can use very little mistake and a result different from a home win. Visitors sit in the 15th place which means direct elimination but they still have chances win a point or three for the 14th which is equal to relegation play-off. So both teams have their ambitions here.
Ufa is the third best home team together with Zenit. They are only behind Loko and Spartak Moscow. Tosno is on the other side as visitors- third worst in the league and in awful form. In their last eight games in the league they earned just 1 point against Ural and 7 losses. That speaks a lot about their mood, form and so on.. The team deserves to be relegated for sure together with SKA, which team is in the last place. The relegation play-off battle is expected to be between Amkar and Anzhi. Ufa's current form is not the best one, they made a few mistakes, some of them at home, but against teams like Zenit and CSKA Moscow. They even got a draw as visitors against the champions Loko Moscow.
Both teams have some injury problems- Ufa will be without Stotskiy, who is suspended and Vanek+Seidakhmet, while the visitors will be without Vadimir Bistrov, Pavel Pogrebnyak and Mirzov who is suspended. Home team always rely on their strong performance in defense, that's the reason they are third best home team this season, because they know how to win matches even with 1:0 at home. Usually they use 5-4-1/5-3-2 as tactics with stable performance in defense and with a lot of balls by the midfield players to their main striker Sysuev. Moreover in home matches the full-backs play much more offensively and help a lot with breaks on the wings. Sysuev is expected to score tomorrow for sure and against such a bad defense Tosno have... I doubt he will miss this opportunity which can be equal to EL qualification matches in July!
Ufa are really strong favourites here, no matter if they will win 1:0/ 2:0 or 5:4. They need the three points and I don't think they will miss this golden opportunity for Europa competition matches, espeacially when they have this chance at home. Tosno also have to fight, but I think they gave up a long time ago. They don't show any possitive vibes in the last rounds to trust them just a little. Their luggages look already packed for the 1st division in Russia, a step lower.
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Ufa vs Tosno prediction
|Ufa||Pinnacle||1.87||10||5-0 WON (+8.7 units)|