Juventus vs Napoli
Juve host Napoli in a match of high importance for both clubs. Juve have 4 points advantage of Napoli and will look at least to keep it. If we see the stats when Juve play against Napoli at home the Torino giants have full dominance winning almost all of them in the recent years. Both teams will be with their best teams- only De Sciglio will miss the game for the hosts, while Goulham is Napoli absentee.
A lot of people will say Napoli will be much more motivated here and they will attack much more trying to shorten the distance. Maybe you will be right, but against the best home team in the league will this help the visitors? I don't think so.. Napoli can score here for sure, but it's hardly to believe they will win. The chances to lose are much higher. Here's my reason even not to play Juve (DNB), but straight home win. If we see both teams schedule, Juve have two easy home games, but also two extremely hard visits to Inter and Roma, where everything can happen. If Juve play for a draw today and gain it, it's not sure that 4 points advantage will be enough can they can got wrong twice in these derby matches. Napoli's schedule looks a little bit easier with two visits against Sampdoria and Fiorentina and two possible for max points home games against Torino and Crotone. I don't want to say it's easy to visit Samp and Fiorentina, but it looks much more realistic to win against them instead of wins as visitors against Roma and Inter. Draw here or even home loss can give wings to Napoli and continue their dream for the title, but the hosts perfectly know that a win, no matter what the result will be, will practically mean a title. 7 points ahead with two easy home games in the last four matches- practically Seria A will be over.
I think Juve will put the last nail today and will finish with Napoli's hopes for the title easy or hard. They know that draw or even win for the visitors will mean that Napoli will still be in the game and they have to give their max against Inter in the next round, which is not preferable, when you have the golden chance to finish everything on home ground. Napoli showed a lot of times this season that they are weak in the biggest games against the other top teams in Italy. Also Napoli don't have a loss as visitors this season, only at home, so I think this will happen today. Juventus showed against Real they have the potential not to give up and can score goals in important matches, no matter if they play at home or as guests and what's the name of their opponent. If you have doubts play it Juve DNB or 1X.
Home win from me. Good Luck!
Juventus vs Napoli prediction
|Juventus||Pinnacle||2.29||9||0-1 LOST (-9 units)|