Mornar vs Crvena zvezda (By: FairPlayBet)
I have pick also for this second pair of the ABA liga playoffs semifinals. It's meeting in Montenegro between Mornar Bar and Crvena zvezda.
Most likely this won't be as much interesting as game between Cedevita and Buducnost. After all here result from Game 1 (91:63) as well double digits handicap also on the road, speak for itself.
So, Crvena zvezda is strong favorite and it would be huge surprise if they don't close this series today with 2-0.
I said many times recently, CZ is not in too good form now late in the season. And I mainly was betting against them when it was good opportunity in the Euroleague. But here they are favorites for a good reason. This is much lower level. Plus Mornar is the weakest of the teams who competes in the playoffs. Plus Mornar was in Game 1 and also today is without one of it's best players, Lukovic.
BTW, Crvena zvezda is without Nemanja Dangubic.
So, away win should be sure, it's only remaining to we see if CZ would be able to cover this pretty high handicap of 11 pts.
I won't risk with that but instead I will try with first quarter line. I am going with Mornar +4 in the first quarter.
CZ has more quality and much deeper bench. So for entire 40 minutes they must take advantage of that. Still, whether they are going to cover, depends also how serious they would play in moments when the winner is possibly already known.
On the other side, I am pretty confident Mornar in this early stage will be able to stay close. Though, this was not the case in Game 1 when Zvezda was up 8 pts already after first ten minutes, but here when Mornar is host, I see team from Bar putting a lit bit bigger effort early in the match.
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Mornar vs Crvena zvezda prediction
|Mornar +4 first quarter||William Hill||1.85||8||30-21 WON (+6.8 units)|