Unicaja vs Panathinaikos (By: FairPlayBet)
Euroleague, Round 26
Unicaja will host Panathinaikos. The host is s three wins below the playoffs line and to be realistic, their chances of reaching Top 8 are minimal even with possible win here today.
On the other side the Greek team until recently looked in great position to secure home court advantage in the mentioned Top 8 playoffs but now after terrible form in last several games they could be even in trouble to qualify for Top 8 at all.
Panathinaikos will have easy game next round at home when meet Crvena zvezda and that should definitely be win for them. But IMO this one today could be already the game where PAO should be back on the winning track although the "Greens" have few injuries.
But I will skip this option cause how I see Panathinaikos is not exactly favored by the referees as of late. I have impression they have been robbed by the refs several times, especially in that recent meeting with big rivals Olympiacos. PAO back then made huge late comeback but refs then made some questionable calls to say at least.
For such treatment Panathinaikos players can thank to their own crazy owner who was furious many times and said many bad words for ULEB. IMO this only made things even worst.
I mean that's the situation when you play such private competition. If you don't keep quiet, you will get into trouble.
So, when ever it is tied game at the end, I don't have confidence to bet on Panathinaikos, especially not on the road where referees could easily to make some crucial late calls.
Panathinaikos in any case is a team with pretty poor road record, at least it's poor record for someone who have Top 8 ambitions.
Plus, this one game today most likely will be very tied so another reason to skip win/handicap market.
At the end I opted for this bet from William Hill:
Unicaja Malaga or Panathinaikos 1 - 5 Points victory.
You can find this bet under option: Margin of Victory 7 Results. BTW for those who can't bet at WH, you can find it also at bet36 for just slightly weaker odds, 2.60.
Panathinaikos was not too profitable on this option if we look entire EL season. But as of late their games in Euroleague were mainly tied. Thus, 5 of the last 8 have been decided with no more than 5 pts difference.
Unicaja on the other side was involved 6 times in such games out of last 10.
Unicaja vs Panathinaikos prediction
|winning margin: 1-5 pts||William Hill||2.75||5||79-90 LOST (-5 units)|