Cagliari vs Napoli
Cagliari host Napoli in the end of the 26th round of Italian Seria A.
Cagliari are at 15th position in the table and are not one of the strongest home teams with stats 4W-1D-7L and goal difference 13-17. They have a hard task today against the leaders and also the best visitors- 11W-1D-0L.Napoli are simply unstoppable and I think their chances for the title after they were eliminated in EL are even better.
Cagliari will miss Luca Cigarini, Diego Farias and Fabio Pisacane. Farias is important part of Cagliari's attack and Pisacane for their defense, so the problems for the home team will be huge here. We don't have to forget that Farias is the one who scored 3 of the 4 goals for Cagliari in their last 6 matches against Napoli after an embarrasing goal difference of 4:20. Napoli have always succeeded to score at least 3 goals against their opponents sice 2014 and the chances to continue this run is very high. Last two away games against Cagliari finished 0:3 and 0:5 with brilliant performances by Marek Hamsik and Dries Mertens. Napoli can rely on their best players for this match and they will try to take the lead as fast as they can. Milik will miss the match for sure together with Ghoulam Chiriches but most of them are out of the starting line-up for a long time and they have good replacements.
The stats are totally in Napoli's favour, they are in a great battle with Juventus for the title and every point is important, so I believe Napoli will not only win this match, but will do it with difference. I think Mauricio Sarri was searching for an exit of EL to save the energy of his starting line-up for the rest of the season when every match will be like 2nd leg of elimination in CL. That's the reason he used a lot of substitutions against Leipzig. Here Sarri will start with his best players and Cagliari will have huge problems for sure. The weather conditions are expected to be perfect in comparison with the one in Torino yesterday. That's another premise for a quality performance by both teams and I believe if Napoli want to win the title, some great wins with difference will be a huge booster for their confidence and there is a perfect chance for that in Cagliari. I'm going with -1.5 AH for Napoli.
Cagliari vs Napoli prediction
|Napoli -1.5 AH||Bet365||2.00||9||0-5 WON (+9 units)|