Atletico Madrid vs Lleida (By: Jshoot)

Atletico Madrid is going to play against Lleida Esportiu in Copa Del Rey. My pick for this match will be under 3.5 goals.

Lleida is a segunda B team so it's below La Liga and segunda.

It might sound ridiculous why would I pick under 3.5 goals when Atletico Madrid beat Lleida in first leg 4-0 in away game last week. Well, mainly because Atletico have already won this game and Lleida knows it's impossible to score more than 4 goals against the solid defense team like Atletico Madrid in away game and qualify to the next round. So I think Lleida will try their best not to get humiliated again.

As for Atletico Madrid, in first leg, Atletico Madrid did use some of their main players such as Saul, Godin, Carrasco, Correa, & Correa or Gameiro. It was considered to be very attacking team when there are 3 strikers & 1 attacking midfielder like Torres, Carrasco, Correa & Gameiro in XI but this time that they have already have 4 goals advantage, I don't see a reasonable reason why they need to go this game with some of their main XI, I am sure Simeone will give some players from Atl Madrid B to play in this game.

Simeone has little information to tell the media what is likely going to be his XI for this game. Although, he has confirmed that Diego Costa (who is suspended for next La Liga match) and Vitolo will play. Savic (centre back) is also suspended for the next La Liga match so he will play for this match. Compare to the first leg I believe Simeone will prefer to rest more of his main players for the away La Liga next game against Eibar which is not an easy game.

Players who in my opinion will be rested: Oblak (GK), Vrsalijko (RB), Godin (CB), Gimenez (replace Savic), Hernandez (LB, because Luiz is still unfit), Carrasco (LM), Saul (RM), Koke (CM), either Thomas or Gabi (DM), Griezmann (ST), either Correa or Gameiro (ST).

My guess is Gabi will be rested & Correa will be rested since Correa scored last game against Getafe, surely deserve a chance to play.

So my prediction of their XI for this game probably will be: Moyá, Juanfran, Montoro Savic, Sergi, Fernandez, Thomas, Vitolo, Olabe, Costa, Gameiro

The only issue about this pick is that Costa is playing and we all know that he is still a top class striker. There is still a risk about this pick but like I said before, Atl Madrid will have no reason why they can't give a chance to play a lot of minutes for some younger players from Atl B like Sergi, Montoro and Olabe when they have 4 goals advantages already, with weaker sides I can see this won't be over 3.5 goals.

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Atletico Madrid vs Lleida predictions

Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Under 3.5 Bet365 1.50 10 3-0 WON (+5 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
Atletico Madrid vs Lleida betting preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Jshoot).
+6 -3
Comments (1)
J_shoot
XI just came out, not very good news for people who follows this. Simeone refused to start some of players from Atl Madrid B and Carrasco is playing as well. But the good news is they don't have Griezmann in the squad, he was on the bench in 1st leg and scored the 4th goal.
01/09/2018 - 18:06
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