Crvena zvezda vs Olimpija (By: FairPlayBet)
Crvena zvezda will start 2018 with this ABA game at home vs Olimpija Ljubljana. It's a final game of the 14th round.
There is no real doubt about winner of this game. Odds of 1.05 (in best case) for home win speak for itself. But when handicap option is in question, IMO -17.5 in this case are too many points.
When not so long ago visited Belgrade and on this same floor met with Partizan, Olimpija has won the game. But now they need to meet a Euroleague opponent and someone who is top favorite to win ABA. So, clearly chances of Olimpija are poor. But I believe the visiting team can cover.
First of all, CZ played ABA so far pretty much with half strength. They have had to take account of tough schedule and too many games in Euroleague. Very often CZ had to play only on one day rest. That's why betting on Zvezda in ABA was not exactly profitable. They have covered in only 4 out of 13 games, so only 4-9 ATS. Especially they have been bad against the spread team when playing at home in ABA, just 1-5 ATS. This is not surprising given that handicaps are usually too high like today while CZ always play with limited time of most of the best players usually some of the main guys are not in the roster at all. The next Euroleague game for Crvena zvezda is already on 5th January, very important home meeting with Zalgiris so I wouldn't be surprised to Zvezda again today play without too big effort.
Crvena zvezda vs Olimpija prediction
|Olimpija +17.5||Unibet||1.85||8||80-76 WON (+6.8 units)|