I think Sheriff Tiraspol can win this match today and cover -1 goals Asian handicap. They are clear favorites to advance to the next stage and a win while playing at home is the least expected by them.
Sheriff Tiraspol is leading the home league and dominating with 13 wins out of 15 matches and have already a 11 points distance from the second spot. They come after two recent win in the Cup while despite the level of the rival was poor they won 12-0 at home and 0-15 on the road for a 27-0 aggregate. They also have more experience while playing in European qualifiers. Last year they almost made it to the group stage in Europa League but failed in the last match against Qarabag. To mention that they won both home games in that qualifying campaign against Valur and the same exact Qarabag. Today they will try to make things go their way and secure a win which would be comfortable enough not to worry for the return leg. That is why i expect Sheriff Tiraspol to score at least two goals here and therefore cover the handicap.
Saburtalo Tbilisi on the other side comes in a bad run for the moment. Indeed they are a title contender in the home league and are ranked second just one point behind the first. But they haven't won any of the last three matches collecting two draws and a loss. In the League they won just one of the last five matches and that was while playing at home. On the road they have been quite average winning only four out of ten matches played so far. Not to mention also that they lack the experience Sheriff Tiraspol has in Europe as they haven't played every season from the most recent ones.
Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC Saburtalo Tbilisi betting tips
1 AH -1 (Stake: 10)Odds: 1.60 at Pinnacle
Result: 0-3 LOST (-10 units)