Payet is back for Marseille and their squad is going to be strong today. Home win is likely to happen but there's no value in that pick. On the other hand, the visitors from Amiens enter this 28th round as still one of the two relegation teams of Ligue 1. Amiens have 22 points and with not much time left, they will have a hard job in reaching 18th and possible playout. Nimes are 18th with 27 points and a 5 point difference will be hard to achieve, they would need Nimes slipping in multiple games including Amiens having consistency in their own games.
However, Marseille have conceded in all of their last 3 league games in 1:2 and 2:3 wins over Lille and Nimes, but more surprising was their home loss to Nantes of 1:3. Amiens have also been able to dominate Marseille in handicap 3:1 win during the early stages and 9th round of the season.
Much has changed since then and Amiens are at the bottom now while Marseille are the second best team behind PSG. This is great value because Amiens are the highest scoring team from 15th to bottom places, they have scored 29 times with 48 goals conceded. They cannot lose this game as Nimes are likely to get a point in this round because they are playing away against beatable Metz. BTTS is value with Amiens trying to escape bottom and they still have a chance to do so, and also it is value because Marseille haven't been consistent in defense and they often conceded over the last few rounds.
Marseille vs Amiens betting tips
BTTS (Stake: 8)Odds: 2.12 at Pinnacle
Result: 2-2 WON (+8.96 units)