Cagliari will face Parma in a game from Serie A.
This pick is not based on the difference between the teams in the table or current form. It's based mostly on very stable H2H for Cagliari against Parma, especially at home, the good game Cagliari made in the last round against Inter(1:1 in Milano) and to stop the negative run. Cagliari went in a big crisis in the league as they are winless in the last 7 games- too much for a team with such a good attacking force with players like Joao Pedro, Simeone and Nainggolan. Cagliari went is a busy schedule against tough opponents- the reborn Milan, Juventus and two times against Inter are part of the opponents which led to this winless run. Well, it's time for a home game against Parma, a team on their level and a good chance finally to secure 3 points in the league.
Parma can also cause upsets- Inter and Napoli know that for sure, but I saw a lot of weaknesses in one of their recent away games against Atalanta(5:0). They have major problems if you press them high, the players lose the ball too quickly and the opponent creates chance after chance just what Atalanta did in that game. Parma have a bigger problem here in this visit to Cagliari and it's connected with the injuries, not only the fact they will have an opponent with very stable H2H against them and eager to stop their negative run.
Cagliari will miss Pavoletti, Rog, Ceppitelli, Cerri and Ragatzu, but the visitors are the one with a worse injury list as Gervinho and Inglese are out in their attack+ the vital winger in the team Kulusevski. Big missing players for Parma, that's for sure, but they can't also count on Sepe, their main GK. When we add that Alberto Grazzi(important midfielder) is in the group but very doubtful because of his illness and Yann Karamoh(another MF)is also out, Parma will have problems in most of the positions.
I know a lot of people will avoid this game because they don't trust in Cagliari as they hit the bad form, but sooner or later they have to stop this negative run and Parma looks like a good opponent to do that. They beat them 1:3 in the beginning of the season, so why not to make a double against them. I strongly believe in this pick and the home win!
Cagliari vs Parma betting tips
1 (-0.5 AH) (Stake: 9)Odds: 1.88 at Bet365
Result: 2-2 LOST (-9 units)