After the signing of Haaland, Dortmund is real title contenders for me. 15 rounds left and they are 4 points behind the leaders Leipzig and 3 points behind Bayern Munich. We will see if they can keep the good form as they recorded two wins after the break- 3:5 against Augsburg and 5:1 against Koln.
10 goals in two games look too much, but Dortmund is a team where the players know how to score. Haaland did it 5 times, so maybe he will be a starter tomorrow against Union. If you look closely at the stats of these Dortmund's games, you can see these matches were not one-sided at all.
Koln were not absolutely outplayed, although the final result, but Dortmund efficacy was outstandingly high. Now they will face a middle placed team like Union which is also set to cause them problems if they find a way to stop Haaland. What do I mean?
Union beat Dortmund 3:1 at home early in the season and this team is not weak at all even when they are playing as visitors. They usually find a way to score an away goal even against the best- Bayern, Leipzig, Schalke.
I watched their match against Leipzig and Union made an excellent start missing one great chance in the 4th minute and also scored the opening goal in the 10th minute. Then we saw the brutal firepower of Leipzig and the chances were a lot for the hosts, but Union were still looking to create something in front.
Against Dortmund, I expect to see something similar- a defensive tactic by Union looking for counters. When teams like Koln and Augsburg can score to Dortmund, why even a more organized team like Union not to do it?
Dortmund will miss for this game Delaney, while doubtful is Zagadou. In the visitors' squad, missing players are Gogia and Mees, while doubtful are Abdullahi, Promel and Schmiedebach.
I will go with a win for the hosts here, but I don't think it will be with a clean sheet. I really don't believe too much in the defensive line Piszczek, Akanji and Hummels with Burki as a GK. The pictures of the 1st half against Paderborn are still in my head and the silly mistakes they can make when the opponents used their chances to counter Dortmund.
I still expect Dortmund to record a victory at home in a high-scoring game- two mistakes against Union during the season will be too much.
Dortmund vs Union Berlin betting tips
Dortmund+ BTTS (Stake: 9)Odds: 2.30 at Bet365
Result: 5-0 LOST (-9 units)