Villarreal vs CD Alaves (By: Blitz)
It is a new week in La Liga and we have another match for a team we've been following closely: #7 Villarreal hosts #14 Alavés.
I'm not going to be very repetitive of some of the stats as nothing has changed much in the last few days, but I will remind some of the key trends with these two teams.
Villarreal is only second to Barcelona in goals scored. They have 20 and 13 of them were at home, where they are undefeated (2W, 2D). They host a very mediocre Alavés team, altough they've been playing better recently. Alavés is much better at home where they are 3-1-1, while on the road they haven't won so far with 1 draw and 3 losses. Alavés has only scored twice while conceding 8 goals away from home in 4 games.
Villarreal is very good scoring at their stadium with 5, 2, 2 and 4 goals in their home games, but it is also notable that they have scored in every game so far in the season. If they keep this trend going, it will be very difficult for Alavés to keep on pace with that as they already have 4 scoreless games.
Alavés recent form is bad. They are 2-0-4 in their last 6 games, while they have a 3 losing streak away.
The statistical analysis suggests a Villarreal win with over 2.5 goals scored. I can see a 3-1, 3-0 or 2-1 final score. Also it suggests a BIG superiority for Villarreal, especially because of both teams home and away performances which are completely opposite. There is also a very big chance of Villarreal scoring over 1.5 goals.
Another key trend that appears there is how well Villarreal plays in the first half and how awful Alavés is in that same period.
I like this game a lot for live betting if things start going as expected. For this reason, my first suggestion is to watch the game closely and consider live bets for: Villarreal over 1.5 goals, Villarreal to score / win first half. The odds will be much better after the first 20 minutes in case the score stays at 0-0 in that period and if Villarreal is playing as good as expected.
But the safest way to go is with a Villarreal victory (1.57 odds) or Villarreal 0.0, -0.5 in the first half (1.72).
BET MADE: Villarreal to win -1 AH, stake 8, 2.01 odds.
Why? 3 of the 4 Villarreal victories were by more than 1 goal. I'm confident in a win for Villarreal and in their superiority, so I prefer to look for better odds. Remember, -1 AH means that to win, we need Villarreal victory by 2 or more; if it's just by 1 goal, our money is returned; if they draw or lose, we lose.
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Villarreal vs CD Alaves prediction
Villarreal -1 AHOdds: 2.01 at Bet365
Result: 4-1 WON (+8.08 units)
The betting odds are from the time when the article was published and are subject to change. Villarreal vs CD Alaves betting tips and match preview represents the personal opinion of the author (Blitz). The predictions are verified and provided in good faith, but no earnings are guaranteed. Please play responsibly.
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