My 2nd pick is from Argentina Superliga and it features Defensa y Justicia (2nd) vs Union de Santa Fe (8th)
The host now 2nd on the table, led the lague for most of the campaign but lost the 1st position to Racing following their loss playing away to 3rd place Boca Juniors. This league fixtures are tough one to predict because matches between teams usually have only one fixture for the season, so there are no home/away advantages, and teams have to fight out every match like its a knock-out contest to grab the points available from playing against any opponents.
The host have dipped in form recently losing 2 matches from 5 (W3, L2), and losing the initiative to challenge for the league title with Racing (1st place). They can fight to remain in contention until the last game of the season if they win here, and if Racing loses away to Tigre. They will be hopeful of a miracle of a Racing loss, but they too must secure a win today if they are to reduce the deficit of 4 points separating them from the league leaders (Racing Club) who are playing an away fixture against 12th place Tigre that are also in the same great form from recent 5 matches (W4 D1) as them. The host have all their hopes of winning the Superliga riding on this match, as anything other than a win here for them, will spell the end of the title chase, as there will only 3 points left to fight for, and they are adrift of the leaders by 4pts.
The visitors are coming to this match with good form (W3, D1, L1), and will be cautious after a 3 -0 win over 14th placed Lanus @ home. They are in good position to retain the Copa Sudamericana slot as they have one game in hand compared to there nearest challengers with 2 pts less. A draw for the host will see them increasing their chance to play in the continental championships so I expect they will approach this match with caution.
I expect a low scoring affair, and a cagey match for the visitors but an aggresive play from the host who must go out to win today's fixture. In view the visitors will be inclined to play deep and try to defend against a host that has a strong home record (W7, D3, L1), and the visitors average away performance (W4, D4, L3), I am going with a host win.
Defensa y Justicia vs Union de Santa Fe betting tips
Home (Stake: 8)Odds: 1.95 at Bet365
Result: 1-1 LOST (-8 units)