My pick from Series A Roma vs Empoli fixture noting that otherAC and Inter Milan already played and won over the weekend.
Roma is 5th on table and 6ptys behind Inter on 4th spot for Champions league, and have just secured Champions League exit after loss to Porto following an extra time penalty against them. Top of the agenda for Roma manager Claudio Ranieri and the fans is to qualify for Champions league next season, and the tie against Serie A (SA) relegation battlers Empoli will be the best place to start.
After 3-0 loss to Lazio, Roma drifted further downwards to 7 pts behind Inter following that team's victory over the weekend. with form of (W3, D2, L1) from last 6 matches, Roma has to make a statement tonight to their fans, or they will kiss the Champions leagu ambition "goodbye". They also have the baggage of conceding the most among the top-ten sides, besides Atalanta, and will need to find a fix for that tonight.
A consolation for the host is that; their Home form is pretty strong, (W7, D4, L1), while record for the 6 home games against bottom-half sides is W4, D1, L1. Empoli sit 4 points and 1 place above relegation, and will have more belief of surviving relegation after recent 3-3 draw against mid table team Parma, but they first need to fix their defensive problems showing 51 goals conceded this season.
4 of the recent 5 fixtures between both team, have ended with Roma winning by a 2 goal margin, so I expect the home team to go into this fixture with no aspiration less than that to have assurance of keeping their hopes for Champions league, and a decent season finis alive. Empoli are yet to win in 12 trips (D4, L8), have conceded 28 and scored 11 goals away this league season, and have lost on each of 5 five trips to top-half sides, conceding at least three in four of those.
Roma’s 12 home games average four match goals, and there have been over 2.5 match goals scored in 16 of Empoli’s last 18 SA games, while eight of Empoli’s 14 SA defeats have been by a margin of at least two goals.
My pick for this match is Home (-1) for Roma Win
Roma vs Empoli betting tips
Home (-1) (Stake: 8)Odds: 2.40 at Bet365
Result: 2-1 LOST (-8 units)