My first match pick for today is from French Ligue-1 feature of Marseille vs Nice
The host Marseille are with 44 points from 27 matches, and have won their last three Ligue 1 matches without conceding a goal, and will be looking to beat Nice, whom they also beat in the reverse away leg of this fixture. Nice has 40pts from 27 matches played so far, but have lost their last three away games without scoring a goal, so chances of losing to the host today is more likely than in previous season when each won their home fixture.
The hosts are unbeaten in the last 5 within the league (W4, D1), they’ve scored eight goals, and conceded 2. Their season has been good so far (W8, D3, L2), with Marseille winning at half-time in seven of those 13 L1 home victories. Nice, on the other hand have trailed at half-time in their last four L1 away games, and have only managed 2 draws and lost 5 matches when they trailed @ half time whistle (D2, L5). Overall Nice has a decent (W4, D5, L5) away form, but they haven’t won on the road since November (D3, L4), with obvious attack problems scoring 9 goals and average of 0.64 match played away from home.
Marseille is motivated to search of European Champions league spot as a win will bring them within 3 points away from current qualifying spot held by Lyon. Nice on the other hand is safe from relegation zone and in the mid table with 19 points away from the relegation zone, but they know have a chance to fight for a Europa league spot by winning against the host today to close the 4 point gap between them.
Both teams scored in the first half in three of the recent 5 encounters, and I expect a BTTS match tonight despite the visitors poor form of late. I don't expect them to win, but I expect the extra motivation of the visitors will see them score a goal, as has been the case in 4 of the past H2H when these teams have tackled each other.
Ex-Nice forward, Mario Balotelli, is in form playing for Marseille, and has scored 3 goals across his 4 four games, so I expect him to show up on score sheet for this fixture to express his dis-agreement for his departure from Nice previously. The Nice keeper, Walter Benítez, has conceded eight goals in his last three L1 away games, so I expect he will concede at least 2 goals today.
Marseille vs Nice betting tips
Home & Ov 2.5 (Stake: 10)Odds: 2.35 at Bet365
Result: 1-0 LOST (-10 units)