My first pick for today is from the match between Manchester City and Watford,
Man City has regained their brilliant form with attacking and goal scoring game, and in this fixture they are playing against a visiting Watford team that is 7th in the away table, and the goal scoring table, and also have the 7th poorest defence alongside Leicester, Birghton, and West Ham, so I expect to see some goals in this one.
Statistically, Man City is known for trying to kill off their opponents by scoring multiple goals in the 1st half, and they have done so in 60% of their home matches this season. The visitors will be mindful about sitting too deep in the defence, and will be striving to do quick counter attacks, in view that Man City is expected to take early command of the game, and the early attack initiatives.
The visitors are 18pts above the relegation battle zone, and 13pts below vying for a position in Europe. They are thus under no pressure to cram the bulk of their players into defensive postures in hope of grinding out a draw, as they are yet to pick a point (home/away) from any team in the top 5 this season.
The hosts will be using this match to test out their attack strategies and formation ahead of the Champions League match against Schalke next week. I expect that in view Man City have 3 away goals, and all 3 points from the first leg of that fixture, that they will be giving this match some serious attention, to avoid slipping up their premier league 1st position perch, with Liverpool just a point behind.
I see the host trying to quickly settle this one tonight with a couple of early goals, to avoid over-exerting their key players through 90 minutes of play. The best way to get a good rest for Man City key players will be to put the match beyond the reach of the visitors in the 1st half, and that means getting a couple of early goals in the first half, and then substituting replacement for key players afterwards.
I see a minimum of 2 goals in the 1st half, and my bet is for 1st Half:- Ov1.5.
Manchester City vs Watford betting tips
1st Half Ov 1.5 (Stake: 8)Odds: 1.87 at Bet365
Result: 0-0 LOST (-8 units)