My first match pick for the day, is from Argentina Superliga, and is between Atletic Lanus & San Martin SJ.
I see advantage for the hosts in view of relative difference in recent performance quality and positioning of the hosts (3rd) and visitors (22nd) amongst the 26 teams on the form table. The actual standing of both teams on the league table are closer @ 10th & 22nd, and this will be responsible for the high odds for a home win.
Both teams have shown a change in direction of their fortunes when the overall season performances are compared to their current form; The home team have improved their goals scored/conceded averages from season average 1.1/1.1 to 1.67/0.5 goals when considering their recent 8 fixture. The visitors have seen their average goals scored/conceded change from season average of 0.9/1.38 to recent (8-match) average of 0.67/1.5.
The recent performance of the hosts (W5, L1) is a sharp contrast from the visitors (W1, D2, L3), with the hosts only loss to Boca Juniors (3rd Ranked), while the visitors lost 2 away fixtures to Aldosivi (12th) and Newells (16th) by scorelines of 1-0, and 3-0 respectively, after also losing a home fixture to Boca Juniors by a 1-0 scoreline. I see the hosts lost by a bigger margin to a lower ranked team (Newells) in an encounter where they tried to be more offensive, and ended up conceding more goals due to defensive errors in response counter attacks.
I expect a low scoring match, in view of likelihood the visitors will play a cagey and defensive game, against a with such a good current form, being mind-full that the host have won all recent 5 fixtures against opponents in the lower half of the table where today's visitors are currently lodged.
There are minor injury worries for both teams, so I expect they will be putting out their regular squad for this fixture, making it easier to know what to expect from the interplay between them.
I go for a direct Home win.
Lanus vs San Martin SJ betting tips
Home (Stake: 10)Odds: 1.73 at Bet365
Result: 1-1 LOST (-10 units)