My first match pick for today is from the Danish Superligaen fixture between FC Midtjylland vs Nordsjælland.
This is a must win match for Midtjylland which is currently second and 4pts behind league leaders FC Copenhagen which has 57pts from 24 matches played, against a mid table team Nordsjælland (31pts from 23 matches) which is just 1 point below Aalborg and entry into the Championship group to fight for a chance to play in Europe.
Neither host nor visitors have a troubling injury or absentee worry, though the hosts will be missing a defender Dal Hende Marc who is out due to a red card, in addition to other lower capped players, but these should not significant affect their capabilities, nor change their game plan, or affect their motivation ahead of today's fixture.
The difference in class between both teams is significant, as I see from their points tally differences, and goals ratio which are 55/21 for the host and 36/34 for the visitors. Historically the hosts have won this fixture from the first half to full-time in four of the last five meetings, and I am expecting them to do so again today. The host have won all 6 of their recent league matches, while the visitors have a record of W4, D1, L1 from the last 6 matches played in the league.
It should normally be difficulty to select a match winner from the first half for two teams with such good form, but It helps to put perspective on the victories of the visitors in recent away fixtures, by noting; their opponents in the 2 away fixtures won were teams in the bottom half of the table, while they lost the away match played with a team in the top half of the table. Despite the relative close positioning on the form table, where host is 2nd and visitors is 4th, we can difference in capabilities by comparing points from their last 8 matches, where the home team has 21pts (W7, D1) and the away team has 14pts.
I see, the home team won 9 of their last 11 home matches right from the 1st half, while the visitors have lost 4 of 11 at the close of the 1st half. I expect the visitors to approach the match cautiously, and the host to attempt to put their authority on this fixture by taking the early lead, and winning the first half. It should then be easier to go on to win the match, and close the gap to league leaders.
My prediction for this match is HT/FT outcome of Home/Home
Midtjylland vs Nordsjaelland FC betting tips
Home/Home (Stake: 10)Odds: 2.20 at Bet365
Result: 1-2 HT LOST (-10 units)