My Match pick from the English Premiership today is the between Burnley & Tottenham Hotspurs
While Tottenham is 3rd on the table with 5 points behind the league leaders (Man-City), the hosts, Burnley are 15th on the table and 3 points above relegation bound Southampton. Recent forms show the match is not going to be a pushover for the vistors as Burnley have secured 12 points (W3, D3) from maximum 18 points from their last 6 matches to keep hopes of continuing with their Premier league campaign next season alive.
The visitors have also been successful with their campaign to keep close to the league leaders (W5, L1) to secure 15 points from maximum 18 points from their recent 6 matches. The home team have scored 10 goals and conceded 6 across 2 home and 4 away matches, while the visitors have scored 11 goals and conceded 4 from 4 home and 2 away matches. Looking at their recent H/A fixtures, I see that home team have (W2, D1, L1) scored 6 goals and conceded 7 goals to get 7 points from 12 possible, while the visitors have conceded 3 goals, and scored 13 goals to Win all 4 of their recent away fixtures.
Burnley will look to continue their run of form, but despite having gone seven league games undefeated (W4, D3), and failing to score only once in those 7 games, they know that aside from the 2-2 draw with a rejuvenated Manchester United, Tottenham will be their biggest test this half of the season. While Burnley will like to be happy that the match is set to occur in their home ground they will find little relief in the knowledge that they are taking on the Tottenham side that is the team with the best Away record this reason securing 33 points from a maximum of 39 points (W11, D0, L2).
Tottenham is yet to record any draw this season, as they have taken an all or nothing approach to their campaign with rather positive looking results that has not seen them dropping any point to a team currently in the bottom half of the league table where Burnley rests at the moment. My conclusion is despite the recent improvement in Burnley's performance, getting a point from today's fixture is a tall order that is further made difficult by the fact that they yet to beat any side inside the PL top-nine this season, losing nine of their 11 H2H matches (D2, L9). To change that record, they must tighten up defensively. Across those 11 matches, they conceded an average of 2.63 goals per game.
Tottenham have only lost once to Burnley in their last 10 previous meetings (W6, D3), while conceding only one goal in their previous four visits to Burnley's home (Turf Moor). In line with the attack focused playing style of both teams, I expect to see an over 2.5 goals game, but am going to keep this prediction simple to reduce risks.
My prediction is for a Tottenham Win.
Burnley vs Tottenham betting tips
Away (Stake: 8)Odds: 1.70 at Bet365
Result: 2-1 LOST (-8 units)