My first prediction today here is for the match Werder Bremen vs VfB Stuttgart in the German Bundesliga.
Werder Bremen has not lost a game against today's visitors at home in this fixture in their last ten Bundesliga H2H (W6, D4) campaigns, but they lost the first leg of the reverse fixture to mark their first loss in the 2018/19 season. With the recent form of the host (W2, D3, L1) achieved by scoring 11 and conceding 7 goals from 4 Away and 2 Home matches, compared to the poor form of the visitors (W0, D1, L6) scoring 7 and conceding 16 goals from 2 Away matches, and 4 Home matches the hosts must feel the tempo is in their favour to grab a strong winner with at least +2 goals scored against the visitors whose form has significantly dropped since their last encounter this season.
Bremen are undefeated in the last four (W2, D2), with three both teams scoring encounters featured, and have conceded at least one goal in 11 Bundesliga home games this season (W4, D4, L3) and have the division’s joint-third worst home defence (18 goals conceded). Stuttgart are winless in 2019 (D1, L4), they have scored in five of the last seven Bundesliga games, but have gone ahead to lose six of those games, so we can expect a BTTS result here when combined with Bremen defence frailties.
A match without a win for the home team is not excusable, as the visitors have lost the last five games away from home, and have failed to score in four of those defeats. Also supporting a Bremen victory and a relief for the host's poor defence is the fact that Stuttgart have the second worst away attack (7 goals scored) and have failed to score in seven of their 11 Bundesliga away fixtures (W1, D1, L9).
There is a strong history between both teams, and the host will definitely feel the need to make a strong statement to the visitors in repayment for the loss they suffered away at Stuttgart. I will go for Home win by 2+ goals, hence a handicap is fine for me. My prediction is Home (-1) win.
Werder vs Stuttgart betting tips
(0 - 1) H Home (Stake: 8)Odds: 2.35 at Bet365
Result: 1-1 LOST (-8 units)