In the match between Sunderland (No.4) vs Gillingham (No. 14) in the English league One, I see that Sunderland has gone into a slump in performance winning just one match by a slim margin (1- 0) from amongst the last 6 games played, while conceding at least 1 goal in each of the other 5 matches drawn. The team has drawn a match after conceding a goal each with Accrington, Blackpool and Scunthorpe which all have similar or worse goal scoring performance when compared with Gillingham who have recorded 2 victories in the last 6 matches, scoring a goal in four of those encounters.
In my opinion, it likely that Sunderland can win the match, but I doubt their attack is able to compensate for the defensive weakness which has seen them concede a goal in 75% of the home matches played this season @ 0.94 goals /match average, by scoring 2 goals more than the 1 goal that their defence is likely to concede in this encounter with a team from Gillingham that has proven to be able to score better than the league average of 1.23goals/game (as their away scoring record stands @ 73% of games played and 1.33goals/game).
Both teams have team scoring profile that shows more dependence on mid-fielders to do the scoring, than the conventional focus on the frontline strike force. Sunderland will likely be coming with the 4-1-3-2 formation, while Gillingham will be using the 4-3-3 formation which allows for quick turn-around from defence to quick counter-attack. I expect that the host team will be careful not to be over-aggressive going forward, especially if they secure the opener in this encounter. It will thus be a low scoring affair, and I expect that handicap of 2 goals to the away team for a victory is a good offer @ 1.66 so am going to take it.
Sunderland vs Gillingham betting tips
(0:2) H Away (Stake: 8)Odds: 1.66 at Bet365
Result: 4-2 LOST (-8 units)